Celtics 2H +4.5 (2u)
5/12 #NBA
NBA
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #711-712
Celtics +5 over Wizards (2u)
I was initially planning on riding the home team all series in this one as the home team has absolutely dominated every game dating back to even the regular season, but this game has a very similar feel to the Spurs/Rockets game last night. Good veteran teams find a way to rise to the occasion when needed and the Celtics will be fired up to end this series tonight to avoid an “anything can happen” game 7 similar to how the Spurs did last night. In this post season home teams facing elimination are 0-10 straight up and while I’m not a big trend guy, I think that trend continues tonight. The Celtics are still talking among themselves about the bad losses they suffered in DC in Games 3 and 4 and they will be looking for redemption tonight on the home floor of a hated rival that has been very physical with them in this series. I know the conspiracy theorists will say the NBA wants a game 7 but I don’t buy into that at all. If anything, they would prefer to get the Eastern Conference Finals started as the Warriors/Spurs series begins Sunday. The Celtics are the more talented deeper team and the Wiz are going to have to play an almost perfect game to cover so I like our chances with the generous points and underdog Celtics in a game I think they win outright. Take Boston.
5/11 #NBA
NBA
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #523-524
Spurs +8.5 (2u)
I know Kawhi is out but this is just too many points for this Rockets team to be laying in a potential close out game. In potential close out games teams tend to be more cautious and I look for a low scoring game which automatically makes me like taking the points. The Rockets only played seven players last game and by the time the fourth quarter rolled around they were gassed. Kawhi is an elite player but the Spurs have great depth. Simmons will start in his Kawhi’s place and he is like a mini version of Lebron and I look for him to have a good game on both sides of the ball. The Rockets have their backs against the wall, but they are a team that completely depends upon the three. Of course they can shoot lights out again tonight and blow the Spurs out, but I never like backing a team that is so dependent on the three ball which can be very unreliable in pressure situations. The Spurs have been here before, and I picked them to win in it in six before this series started and don’t be shocked if they pull the big upset tonight and close it out. I definitely like this game to come down to the wire again so the points are a no brainer. Take the Spurs.
5/10 #NBA
NBA
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #519-520
Celtics -4 over Wizards (3u)
This series has been a bizarre one where the home team has completed dominated every game all year. In the playoffs nothing has changed, with both teams winning easily by double digits in both home games. The Wiz are the better team but have an awful bench who really struggle on the road. After two back to back blowout losses I look for the Celtics to regroup and bounce back with another big home win here with Isiah Thomas going off again and some role players stepping up as well. Take the Celtics.
5/8 NBA
NBA
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #707-708
Spurs -5.5 over Rockets (2u)
Rockets/Spurs Over 214.5 (Parlay O214.5 with Spurs ML 1.5u to win 2.6 units)
Random tidbit:
After loss last night and in an attempt to get out of this frustrating funk, this morning I took some time to go back and review every game this playoffs because it seemed like the spread has barely mattered in any of these games. By it not mattering I mean the favorite has been winning in blowouts and the spread hasn’t been a sweat or the underdogs are winning outright. Well, after looking into it, out of the 56 games played this post-season, the spread has only mattered in 11 games. 80% of time time it was as easy as picking the winner and letting the spread take care of itself. Knowing those stats, it was foolish to think the Jazz would lose but cover, that just hasn’t been the case this playoffs. Granted now that we are almost in the conference finals I’m sure the spread will start mattering more, but in these semi final games, it’s really been as simple as picking who wins the game.
It’s always risky betting on a Rockets game because you are really betting on how they are going to shoot from 3. When they shoot over 40% they are undefeated this year and when they shoot under 30% they have only won one game. I can’t see them shooting 40% in back to back games especially in San Antonio after Pop makes adjustments, so I definitely like the Spurs to win today which makes taking the spread easy.
The Spurs defense has really struggled and I still expect Houston to shoot in the low 30%’s from 3, so they are going to score some points. Houston is going to have to go small with Nene out and their game plan is going to be to outscore the Spurs, so there should be plenty of points in this one as well. Take the Spurs and parlay the over with Spurs ML.
- « Previous Page
- 1
- …
- 4
- 5
- 6
- 7
- 8
- …
- 27
- Next Page »