8:00 PM EST
Spurs +8.5 (2u)
I know Kawhi is out but this is just too many points for this Rockets team to be laying in a potential close out game. In potential close out games teams tend to be more cautious and I look for a low scoring game which automatically makes me like taking the points. The Rockets only played seven players last game and by the time the fourth quarter rolled around they were gassed. Kawhi is an elite player but the Spurs have great depth. Simmons will start in his Kawhi’s place and he is like a mini version of Lebron and I look for him to have a good game on both sides of the ball. The Rockets have their backs against the wall, but they are a team that completely depends upon the three. Of course they can shoot lights out again tonight and blow the Spurs out, but I never like backing a team that is so dependent on the three ball which can be very unreliable in pressure situations. The Spurs have been here before, and I picked them to win in it in six before this series started and don’t be shocked if they pull the big upset tonight and close it out. I definitely like this game to come down to the wire again so the points are a no brainer. Take the Spurs.