NFL, NBA, & NCAAB Picks Against The Spread
No in depth write up tonight guys, out with family but Raiders cover the chalk tonight against a very below average SD team and sends Woodson and possibly Oakland out in style. SD had a very emotional game last week and come back to earth tonight.
28-20
Raiders -5.5 (3u)
O45.5 (2u)
Bears have played every game this year (throwing out the first 3 where they were getting acclimated to the new coaching and system) within 6 points, other than their 37-13 blowout over the Rams.
The Vikings just don’t score a lot of points (20 points per game) and the last time these teams played it was also a close game with Chicago blowing a 20-10 lead in the 4th quarter before the Vikings came back to win it 23-20 at the very end.
The Bears have been very good on the road this season (not including first 3 games) and since then have been 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS, including impressive wins in Kansas City and Green Bay. Minnesota has been banged up on defense and two of their best players (Anthony Barr and Harrison Smith) are out while defensive tackle Linval Joseph and defensive end Everson Griffen are questionable.
I like Chicago to cover the number in a close one here again.
Vikings 23, Bears 20
Chicago Bears +6 (3 units)
Weird spread in this game, but that is because both of these teams have been trading wins for losses in consecutive weeks. Buffalo matches up very well against Washington and should have success on the ground, and Rex should have some packages dialed up to give Cousins some trouble.
I like the Bills to bounce back and keep their slim playoff hopes alive on the road here, Bills have some injuries though so keeping this to 2 units.
Bills 24, Redskins 20
Hate picking against the best team in the league, but it worked out when we took the Saints a few weeks ago and this is another great spot to fade the undefeated Panthers in. They are banged up on both sides of the ball and this is a must win for the Giants at home. Giants also matchup well with Carolina, as despite how well their defense has played they can be thrown on. Josh Norman is the best CB in the game but Odell Beckham is on an even other level, I don’t see Norman shutting him down today. Giants are awesome in these spots and I like them to cover this number and possibly even win SU.
Panthers 34, Giants 31
I like both of these teams to cover the spread without the tease, but 6.5 is a lot to ask a “rookie” QB to cover and it’s also a lot to expect a team to cover vs the best defense in the league. I expect both teams to win SU so although I’m not usually a big teaser fan, this is one that I love today.
A lot of you remember that I used to make some solid picks last year on totals but have been staying away this year and focusing on sides, but this is one that really jumped out at me. We are getting a ton of value on this line since the perception is both teams have been struggling to score lately, this total is about 5 points too short. The reality is when Oakland can get the running game going they have been averaging over 30 points per game, and I fully expect them to be able to run vs. this pourous GB run defense. On the other side, Oakland has the 27th ranked pass D and Rodgers should be able to throw all over them. This game should prove to be one of the most exciting games of the week and I see a lot of points being scored here. This may cash by the middle of the 4th quarter.
Green Bay Packers -4 – 5 Units
Philadelphia Eagles +4.5 – 4 Units
San Diego Chargers -2 – 3 Units
New Orleans Saints -3 – 3 Units
St. Louis Rams +1 – 3 units
Big game here for the Giants as they are still right in the thick of the playoff race in the NFC East even at 5-7. You can call it a must-win game, but that is one of the most overplayed (and squarest) angles to take in sports betting. If a team is in a must win situation that usually means they are just not that good, and that is certainly the case with the Giants. This is a team that has lost 3 of their last 4 and have been finding ways to lose. Even though Eli is historically his best in the face of adversity, this is not a team that I want to back on the road.
Giants offensive line is banged up (it was just announced Flowers is active) but he won’t be at 100%. Dolphins have a talented defensive front who should give them problems. I think Vernon has a big night and Suh might even be motivated for once playing on prime time.
On the other side, Miami is in their second week with the new OC Taylor who is committed to getting back to running the ball (gashed a solid Baltimore run D for 137 yards at 5.7 ypa last week).
If Miami can get their running game going like they should, that will open up big opportunities against the Giants terrible pass D. The G-Men are allowing 315 yards per game and have easily the worst secondary outside of New Orleans. Even though he is no world beater, Tannehill is be very capable of putting up some big numbers against a terrible defense, like he did vs. an unmotivated Texans squad back in Week 7. Giants will have no answer for Landry who is going to be motivated to out duel his old LSU buddy Beckham.
Unlike the Miami, Giants are one dimensional on offense and have a hard time running the ball on anybody. Beckham will get his for sure, but without establishing the run Miami will be able to get some good pressure on Manning. One prop I like tonight is Total Sacks for Miami OVER 2 (EVEN).
I think the wrong team is favored here and I actually have the line as Miami -3, so we are getting some value with the spread as well.
Also there is an insane amount of money on the G-Men which only helps our cause after a ton of favorites (SEA, GB, NE, CARO) all covered yesterday.
I see Miami getting up for this game under the bright lights on Prime Time and beating the G-Men straight up, also like the OVER alot too, we are getting a lot of value given Miami’s recent struggles on offense, but NYG’s defense is really that bad.
I like the over but would rather take the tease here, as I like both sides straight up as well.
Dolphins 31, Giants 23
Dolphins +1.5 (4 units)
Dolphins +7.5 / Over 41.5 (2 units)
Big game here for the Giants as they are still right in the thick of the playoff race in the NFC East even at 5-7. You can call it a must-win game, but that is one of the most overplayed (and squarest) angles to take in sports betting. If a team is in a must win situation that usually means they are just not that good, and that is certainly the case with the Giants. This is a team that has lost 3 of their last 4 and have been finding ways to lose. Even though Eli is historically his best in the face of adversity, this is not a team that I want to back on the road.
Giants offensive line is banged up (it was just announced Flowers is active) but he won’t be at 100%. Dolphins have a talented defensive front who should give them problems. I think Vernon has a big night and Suh might even be motivated for once playing on prime time.
On the other side, Miami is in their second week with the new OC Taylor who is committed to getting back to running the ball (gashed a solid Baltimore run D for 137 yards at 5.7 ypa last week).
If Miami can get their running game going like they should, that will open up big opportunities against the Giants terrible pass D. The G-Men are allowing 315 yards per game and have easily the worst secondary outside of New Orleans. Even though he is no world beater, Tannehill is be very capable of putting up some big numbers against a terrible defense, like he did vs. an unmotivated Texans squad back in Week 7. Giants will have no answer for Landry who is going to be motivated to out duel his old LSU buddy Beckham.
Unlike the Miami, Giants are one dimensional on offense and have a hard time running the ball on anybody. Beckham will get his for sure, but without establishing the run Miami will be able to get some good pressure on Manning. One prop I like tonight is Total Sacks for Miami OVER 2 (EVEN).
I think the wrong team is favored here and I actually have the line as Miami -3, so we are getting some value with the spread as well.
Also there is an insane amount of money on the G-Men which only helps our cause after a ton of favorites (SEA, GB, NE, CARO) all covered yesterday.
I see Miami getting up for this game under the bright lights on Prime Time and beating the G-Men straight up, also like the OVER alot too, we are getting a lot of value given Miami’s recent struggles on offense, but NYG’s defense is really that bad.
I like the over but would rather take the tease here, as I like both sides straight up as well.
Dolphins 31, Giants 23
Dolphins +1.5 (4 units)
Dolphins +7.5 / Over 41.5 (2 units)