MINNESOTA VIKINGS vs. Chicago Bears (+6)
Bears have played every game this year (throwing out the first 3 where they were getting acclimated to the new coaching and system) within 6 points, other than their 37-13 blowout over the Rams.
The Vikings just don’t score a lot of points (20 points per game) and the last time these teams played it was also a close game with Chicago blowing a 20-10 lead in the 4th quarter before the Vikings came back to win it 23-20 at the very end.
The Bears have been very good on the road this season (not including first 3 games) and since then have been 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS, including impressive wins in Kansas City and Green Bay. Minnesota has been banged up on defense and two of their best players (Anthony Barr and Harrison Smith) are out while defensive tackle Linval Joseph and defensive end Everson Griffen are questionable.
I like Chicago to cover the number in a close one here again.
Vikings 23, Bears 20
Chicago Bears +6 (3 units)
Buffalo Bills (-2) vs. WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Weird spread in this game, but that is because both of these teams have been trading wins for losses in consecutive weeks. Buffalo matches up very well against Washington and should have success on the ground, and Rex should have some packages dialed up to give Cousins some trouble.
I like the Bills to bounce back and keep their slim playoff hopes alive on the road here, Bills have some injuries though so keeping this to 2 units.
Bills 24, Redskins 20
Carolina Panthers vs. NEW YORK GIANTS (+5)
Hate picking against the best team in the league, but it worked out when we took the Saints a few weeks ago and this is another great spot to fade the undefeated Panthers in. They are banged up on both sides of the ball and this is a must win for the Giants at home. Giants also matchup well with Carolina, as despite how well their defense has played they can be thrown on. Josh Norman is the best CB in the game but Odell Beckham is on an even other level, I don’t see Norman shutting him down today. Giants are awesome in these spots and I like them to cover this number and possibly even win SU.
Panthers 34, Giants 31
BENGALS -.5 / PIT -.5 (6 Point Teaser)
I like both of these teams to cover the spread without the tease, but 6.5 is a lot to ask a “rookie” QB to cover and it’s also a lot to expect a team to cover vs the best defense in the league. I expect both teams to win SU so although I’m not usually a big teaser fan, this is one that I love today.
GB @ OAK OVER 46.5
A lot of you remember that I used to make some solid picks last year on totals but have been staying away this year and focusing on sides, but this is one that really jumped out at me. We are getting a ton of value on this line since the perception is both teams have been struggling to score lately, this total is about 5 points too short. The reality is when Oakland can get the running game going they have been averaging over 30 points per game, and I fully expect them to be able to run vs. this pourous GB run defense. On the other side, Oakland has the 27th ranked pass D and Rodgers should be able to throw all over them. This game should prove to be one of the most exciting games of the week and I see a lot of points being scored here. This may cash by the middle of the 4th quarter.