8:00 PM EST
Cavs +9 over Warriors (3u)
The Warriors made the Cavs look silly in the first game as they scored at will in the paint, but ultimately they just did what they were supposed to do in defending their home court. The Cavs played about as bad as they possibly could have with 20 turnovers and only 4 combined points between Tristan Thompson, Deron Williams, Kyle Korver, and JR Smith. That was a recipe for disaster and about worst case scenario. Everyone is overreacting over one game, but one game doesn’t mean anything. Cleveland is going to have to slow down the pace and use muscle to win this series and they know this. They will adjust and not play nearly as sloppy in game 2. The line jumped two points which is a huge overreaction to one bad game. The Warriors came out a little hungrier, had a little more pep in the their step and the Cavs were lethargic. I’m not going to overreact and be a prisoner of the moment. I think the Cavs come out with an adjusted game plan and have a much better game game 2. Now is the time to hit the future one more time (+475 is tremendous value) because I think the Cavs win this game and this series will be back and forth the rest of the way. Even if they lose, it still doesn’t matter because a series doesn’t start until the home team loses. Cavs were expected to lose the first two games so if they can steal one of the first two on the road it’s a huge bonus. If the Cavs go down 0-2, going home to Game 3 in Cleveland will be the biggest play of the year. That said, as long as they cut down on the turnovers tonight I see them covering this number easily and will have a great shot to steal this one outright as well (sprinkle). Take the Cavs.