NBA
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #715-718
Celtics -5 over Wizards
This game is a really tough call because in game 7 anything can happen. It is very tempting to just take the points and hope for the best as the Wiz could either win outright or lose by less than 5 but I just can’t ignore how poorly they have played on the road, especially their bench. Both teams benches have really struggled on the road in this series (Boston’s bench only scored 5 points last game) but role players always play better at home especially in the playoffs. I have to assume the Celtics are going to get a lot more production out of their bench and if they do I just don’t see the Wiz hanging around unless they can get contributions from players outside of Wall and Beal which just hasn’t been the case this series. I did feel like the Wizards were the better team early in the series, but the Celtics have turned things around the past two games. . The Celtics have the home court edge, the coaching edge, and are the deeper team. The only thing I don’t like about Boston is their struggles rebounding the ball so if they can’t hit their initial shots it could be a problem against this Wizards team who have confidence knowing tonight is do or die where anything can happen. This is game should be another but I definitely like the Celtics to win and advance (the Wizards haven’t won in Boston since April 2014) so I’m going to take them to win and hope the spread takes care of itself. Take the Celtics.
Spurs +10 (3u)
Celtics 2H +4.5 (2u)
5/12 #NBA
NBA
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #711-712
Celtics +5 over Wizards (2u)
I was initially planning on riding the home team all series in this one as the home team has absolutely dominated every game dating back to even the regular season, but this game has a very similar feel to the Spurs/Rockets game last night. Good veteran teams find a way to rise to the occasion when needed and the Celtics will be fired up to end this series tonight to avoid an “anything can happen” game 7 similar to how the Spurs did last night. In this post season home teams facing elimination are 0-10 straight up and while I’m not a big trend guy, I think that trend continues tonight. The Celtics are still talking among themselves about the bad losses they suffered in DC in Games 3 and 4 and they will be looking for redemption tonight on the home floor of a hated rival that has been very physical with them in this series. I know the conspiracy theorists will say the NBA wants a game 7 but I don’t buy into that at all. If anything, they would prefer to get the Eastern Conference Finals started as the Warriors/Spurs series begins Sunday. The Celtics are the more talented deeper team and the Wiz are going to have to play an almost perfect game to cover so I like our chances with the generous points and underdog Celtics in a game I think they win outright. Take Boston.
5/11 #NBA
NBA
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #523-524
Spurs +8.5 (2u)
I know Kawhi is out but this is just too many points for this Rockets team to be laying in a potential close out game. In potential close out games teams tend to be more cautious and I look for a low scoring game which automatically makes me like taking the points. The Rockets only played seven players last game and by the time the fourth quarter rolled around they were gassed. Kawhi is an elite player but the Spurs have great depth. Simmons will start in his Kawhi’s place and he is like a mini version of Lebron and I look for him to have a good game on both sides of the ball. The Rockets have their backs against the wall, but they are a team that completely depends upon the three. Of course they can shoot lights out again tonight and blow the Spurs out, but I never like backing a team that is so dependent on the three ball which can be very unreliable in pressure situations. The Spurs have been here before, and I picked them to win in it in six before this series started and don’t be shocked if they pull the big upset tonight and close it out. I definitely like this game to come down to the wire again so the points are a no brainer. Take the Spurs.
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